If you're into real estate news, you're probably aware that supplies have gone up again balancing the scale between supply and demand. Most of the inventory that helped make this happen came from newly constructed homes. If you're thinking of buying a brand new home, here are some tips you ought to have to follow to make sure you get the best value for your money.
1. Hire an Inspector
Despite the fact that builders must comply with town and city regulations, a home inspector will have your best interests in mind! When buying new construction, you will have between 1-3 inspections, depending on your preference (the foundation inspection, the pre-drywall inspection, and a final inspection).
These inspections are important because the inspector will often notice something that the builder missed. If possible, attend the inspection so that you can ask questions about your new home and make sure the builder fixes any problems found by the inspector.
2. Maintain good communication with your builder
Starting with the pre-construction meeting (where you will go over all the details of your home with your project manager), establish a line of communication. For example, will the builder email you every Friday with progress updates? If you are an out-of-state buyer, will you receive weekly pictures of the progress via email? Can you call the builder and if so, how often? How often can you visit the site?
3. Look for builder's incentives
The good thing about buying a new home is that you can add the countertop you need, the mudroom you want, or an extra porch off the back of your home! However, there is always a price for such additions, and they add up quickly!
Some builders offer incentives that can help reduce the amount you spend on your home. Do your homework and see what sort of incentives the builders in your area are offering.
4. Schedule extra time into the process
There are many things that can impact the progress on your home. One of these things is the weather, especially if you are building in the fall and winter. Rain can delay the pouring of a foundation as well as other necessary steps at the beginning of construction, while snow can freeze pipes and slow your timeline.
Most builders already have a one-to-two-week buffer added into their timelines, but if you are also in the process of selling your current home, you must keep that in mind! Nobody wants to be between homes for a couple of weeks.
5. Visit the site often
As we mentioned earlier, be sure to schedule time with your project manager at least once a week to see the progress on your home. It's easy for someone who is not there all the time to notice little details that the builder may have forgotten or overlooked. Additionally, don't forget to take pictures! You might need them later to see exactly where that pipe is or where those electrical connections are once they're covered up with drywall!
Watching your home come to life is a wonderful experience that can sometimes come with hassles. To avoid some of these headaches, keep these tips in mind!
If you are ready to put your current home up for sale and find out what new construction is available in your area, call a local real estate agent who can help you with the sale of your current home and the search for your new one.
When the demand is high, it is normal to expect that the supply will dwindle at some point in time. It is safe to say that this phenomenon will open opportunities for prices to be pushed up giving sellers an edge. On the other hand, an increase in supply does not necessarily equate to a dip in demand.
For over three years leading up to this point, the exact opposite was true; Inventory dropped as sales soared.
NAR's Chief Economist Lawrence Yun shed some light on what could be contributing to this shift,
"This is the lowest existing home sales level since November 2015. A decade's high mortgage rates are preventing consumers from making quick decisions on home purchases. All the while, affordable home listings remain low, continuing to spur underperforming sales activity across the country."
Let's take a deeper look:
Since January, 30-year fixed mortgage interest rates have increased nearly a full percentage point (from 3.95% to 4.9%). Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, the National Association of Realtors, and the Mortgage Bankers Association are all in agreement that rates will continue to increase to about 5.2% over the next 12 months.
"The rise in [mortgage] rates paired with this very strong price appreciation absolutely is slowing housing," said Fannie Mae's Chief Economist Doug Duncan.
Even though rates are higher than they've been in a decade, they still remain below the average for the 1970s, 80s, 90s, and 2000s!
Mismatch of Inventory
Elizabeth Mendenhall, President of NAR, said it best, "Despite small month over month increases, the share of first-time buyers in the market continues to underwhelm because there are simply not enough listings in their price range."
Prices of starter and trade-up homes have appreciated faster than their higher-priced counterparts. Over the last 5 years, the lowest-priced homes have appreciated by 47% while the highest-priced homes have appreciated by only 24%.
According to the Institute of Luxury Home Market's Luxury Market Report, the $1M-and-up price range is now experiencing a buyer's market. This means that supply (inventory) has finally caught up with demand and buyers are in the driver's seat when it comes to negotiations. Additionally, many listings in this price range have experienced price cuts in order to entice buyers to put in offers.
Although not fully to blame for the national shortage in sales and inventory, natural disasters like Hurricane Florence, Hurricane Michael, and the wildfires on the West Coast have certainly had an impact.
Additional inventory coming to market could help normalize the housing market and allow incomes to catch up to home prices. For more information about sales and inventory in your area, contact a local real estate agent who can help you make the best decision for you and your family.
A notable percentage of the Americans who decided to rent over purchasing their own home have their decisions influenced by the notion that home prices are higher today than the last 10 years. Although there is a certain level of truth to this claim, it does not necessarily mean that renting is cheaper.
For the last ten years, you could purchase a home at a dramatically discounted price and attain a mortgage at a historically low mortgage rate.
Now that home values have returned to where they should be, and mortgage rates are beginning to increase, it is less affordable to own a home than it was over the last ten years.
However, what is not being reported is that it is MORE AFFORDABLE to own a home today than at any other time since 1985 (when data was first collected on this point).
If you take out the years after the crash, affordability today is greater than it has been at almost any time in American history.
This has not been adequately reported which has led to many Americans believing that they cannot currently afford a home.
As an example, the latest edition of Freddie Mac's Research: Profile of Today's Renter reveals that 75% of renters now believe it is more affordable to rent than to own their own homes. This percentage is the highest ever recorded. The challenge is that this belief is incorrect. Study after study has proven that in today's market, it is less expensive to own a home than it is to rent a home in the United States.
Thankfully, some are starting to see this situation and accurately report on it. The National Association of Realtors, in their 2019 Housing Forecast, mentions this concern:
"While the U.S. is experiencing historically normal levels of affordability, potential buyers may be staying out of the market because of perceived problems with affordability."
If you are one of the many renters who would like to own their own homes, talk to a local real estate professional to find out if homeownership is affordable for you right now.
Are you one of the millions of aspiring homeowners who are having second thoughts? Are you afraid that you will be required to shell out a huge chunk of the home's total price as down payment? Do you hesitate because of your credit score? If your answer is yes, then you might be amazed and surprised to read this.
Urban Institute recently released a report entitled, "Barriers to Accessing Homeownership: Down Payment, Credit, and Affordability," which revealed that,
"Consumers often think they need to put more money down to purchase a home than is actually required. In a 2017 survey, 68% of renters cited saving for a down payment as an obstacle to homeownership. Thirty-nine percent of renters believe that more than 20% is needed for a down payment and many renters are unaware of low-down payment programs."
Myth #1: "I Need a 20%Down Payment"
Buyers often overestimate the down payment funds needed to qualify for a home loan. According to the same report:
"Most potential homebuyers are largely unaware that there are low-down payment and no-down payment assistance programs available at the local, state, and federal levels to help eligible borrowers secure an affordable down payment."
These numbers do not differ much between non-owners and homeowners. For example, "30% of homeowners and 39% of renters believe that you need more than 20 percent for a down payment."
While many believe that they need at least 20% down to buy their dream homes, they do not realize that there are programs available which allow them to put down as little as 3%. Many renters may actually be able to enter the housing market sooner than they ever imagined with programs that have emerged allowing less cash out of pocket.
Myth #2: "I Need a 780 FICO Score or Higher to Buy"
Similar to the down payment, many either don't know or are misinformed about what FICO score is necessary to qualify.
Many Americans believe a 'good' credit score is 780 or higher.
To help debunk this myth, let's take a look at Ellie Mae's latest Origination Insight Report, which focuses on recently closed (approved) loans.
As you can see in the chart above, 51.7% of approved mortgages had a credit score of 600-749.
Whether buying your first home or moving up to your dream home, knowing your options will make the mortgage process easier. Your dream home may already be within your reach.
With drastic events in the real estate industry like the mortgage interest rate increase this year, it's not uncommon for one to wonder what the future has in store for us.
Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) - As the leading advocate for the real estate finance industry, the MBA enables members to successfully deliver fair, sustainable, and responsible real estate financing within ever-changing business environments.
The National Association of Realtors (NAR) - The largest association of real estate professionals in the world.
Freddie Mac - An organization which provides liquidity, stability, and affordability to the U.S. housing market in all economic conditions extending to all communities from coast to coast.
Fannie Mae - A leading source of financing for mortgage lenders, providing access to affordable mortgage financing in all markets.
Here are their projections:
Every source sees home sales growing next year. For more on your neighborhood, contact a local real estate professional.
If you are thinking of selling your home to take advantage of home price rise due to limited supply in your area, keep in mind that you are not the first to come up with this great idea. Despite the limited competition, jumping the gun can prove to be a handful if you did not do your research. Here is a list of things to expect before you enter the market.
The percentage of sellers who have hired real estate agents to sell their homes has increased steadily over the last 20 years. Meet with a professional in your local market to see the difference that he or she can make in easing the selling process for you.
Don't beat yourself up for having second thought about the mortgage process. Your fears are not unfounded, and as it turns out, you are not the only one. Fear comes from things we do not completely understand, and the Mortgage Process is a long and complicated process that does not come with walk-throughs and tutorials readily available at a moment's notice.
For many, the mortgage process can be scary, but it doesn't have to be!
In order to qualify in today's market, you'll need a down payment (the average down payment on all loans last year was 5%, with many buyers putting down 3% or less), a stable income, and good credit history.
Throughout the entire home buying process, you will interact with many different professionals who will all perform necessary roles. These professionals are also valuable resources for you.
Once you're ready to apply, here are 5 easy steps that Freddie Mac suggests to follow:
Do your research, reach out to professionals, stick to your budget, and be sure that you are ready to take on the financial responsibilities of becoming a homeowner.
It's not unlikely for someone to spend too much on rent without their knowledge. The truth is, most people are unaware that they are spending too much on rent or what's the threshold to consider to tell if they're coming close to it.
According to new data released from ApartmentList.com, 49.5 million renters in the United States were cost-burdened in 2017, meaning they spent more than 30% of their monthly incomes on rent. This accounts for nearly half of all renter households in the country and is up 3.1 million from 2007.
When a household is cost-burdened by their monthly housing expense, they are not as easily able to save money for the future. This is a big factor for many renters who dream of owning their own homes someday.
But there is hope for those who are able to save at least a 3% down payment! The percentage of income needed in the US to buy a home is significantly less than renting at 17.1%!
The chart below compares the historic percentage of income needed to rent and buy from 1985-2000 to the first quarter of 2018. As you can see, the cost of renting has climbed above historic numbers while the cost of buying dropped over the same period of time.
If you are one of the many renters who is spending too much of their monthly income on rent, consider saving money by getting a roommate, moving into a less expensive apartment, or even moving in with family. These are all ways to save for a down payment so that you can put your housing costs to work for you!
With the rate that we're at, one can't help but wonder how much will home prices go up to by next year. There's no sure way to tell exactly as there are a lot of factor that come in to play when it comes to real estate. The best the we can do is rely on intelligent studies and researches to give as the closest forecast of what the future holds for us.
The Home Price Expectation Survey - A survey of over 100 market analysts, real estate experts, and economists conducted by Pulsenomics each quarter.
Zelman & Associates - The firm leverages unparalleled housing market expertise, extensive surveys of industry executives, and rigorous financial analysis to deliver proprietary research and advice to leading global institutional investors and senior-level company executives.
Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) - As the leading advocate for the real estate finance industry, the MBA enables members to successfully deliver fair, sustainable, and responsible real estate financing within ever-changing business environments.
Freddie Mac - An organization whose mission is to provide liquidity, stability, and affordability to the U.S. housing market in all economic conditions extending to all communities from coast to coast.
The National Association of Realtors (NAR) - The largest association of real estate professionals in the world.
Fannie Mae - A leading source of financing for mortgage lenders, providing access to affordable mortgage financing in all markets always.
Here are their projections of prices going forward:
Every source sees home prices continuing to appreciate -- just at lower percentages as we move through the next several years.
One of the common misconception about buying a new home has to fall under the myth of ever so scary down payment. It's not uncommon for people to say the 15%-20% is what the market demands to buy a home, which is true back then. The real estate market is an ever-changing environment, much of what we know before are either obsolete or holds little truth with our current market today.
Now that the largest generation since baby boomers has aged into prime homebuying age, there will no doubt be an uptick in the national homeownership rate. The study from Urban Institute revealed that nearly a quarter of this generation has the credit and income needed to purchase a home.
Surprisingly, the largest share of mortgage-ready millennials lives in expensive coastal cities. These cities often attract highly skilled workers who demand higher salaries for their expertise.
So, what's holding these mortgage-ready millennials back from buying?
Myths About Down Payment Requirements!
Most of the millennials surveyed for the study believe that they need at least a 15% down payment in order to buy a home when, in reality, the median down payment in the US in 2017 was just 5%, and many programs are available for even lower down payments!
The study goes on to point out that:
"Despite limited awareness, every state has programs that provide grants and loans to make homeownership more attainable, with average assistance in various states ranging from $2,436 to $21,171."
With so many young families now able to buy a home in today's market, the demand for housing will continue for years to come. If you are one of the many millennials who have questions about their ability to buy in today's market, sit with a local real estate professional who can assist you along your journey!
A lot of news and articles talk about the issue of housing affordability in the whole of the United States. Let's take a closer look to find out if the same incline happens all across the board.
According to NAR:
"A value of 100 means that a family with the median income has exactly enough income to qualify for a mortgage on a median-priced home. An index above 100 signifies that a family earning the median income has more than enough income to qualify for a mortgage loan on a median-priced home, assuming a 20 percent down payment."
One big factor in determining affordability each month is the interest rate available at the time of calculation. In August 2017, the 30-year fixed rate mortgage interest rate was 4.19%. This August, the rate rose to 4.78%!
With an index reading of 141.2, housing remains affordable in the U.S.
Regionally, affordability is up in three out of four regions. The Northeast had the biggest gain at 6.2%. The South had an increase of 2.4% followed by the West with a slight increase of 0.1%. The Midwest had the only dip in affordability at 4.8%.
Despite month-over-month changes, the most affordable region remains the Midwest, with an index value of 175.7. The West remains the least affordable region at 101.2. For comparison, the index was 146.7 in the South, and 151.2 in the Northeast.
If you are thinking of selling your home, contact a local real estate professional who can help you understand the affordability conditions in your marketplace.
Nowadays, it is quite typical for the majority of the people suspect bigger forces are at work behind everything that is happening to our lives that we do not necessarily want. The government, the 1% or simply big companies conspiring to make our lives miserable beyond belief. Recently, there have been rumors about why and what is causing the home prices to go up. Let's shed light on this matter by reminding everyone about the law of supply and demand.
Whenever there is a limited supply of an item that is in high demand, prices increase. It is that simple. In real estate, it takes a six-month supply of existing salable inventory to maintain pricing stability. In most housing markets, anything less than six months will cause home values to appreciate and anything greater than seven months will cause prices to depreciate (see chart below).
According to the Existing Home Sales Report from the National Association of Realtors (NAR), the monthly inventory of homes for sale has been below six months for the last five years (see chart below).
If buyer demand continues to outpace the current supply of existing homes for sale, prices will continue to appreciate. Nothing nefarious is taking place. It is simply the theory of supply & demand working as it should.
How can owning a home be beneficial for you financially? To some, the thought would seem counter-intuitive, but unknown to many, a homeowner's net-worth is forty-four times greater than that of a renter.
Federal Reserve survey of Consumer Finances revealed that the median net worth of a homeowner was $231,400 - a 15% increase since 2013. At the same time, the median net worth of renters decreased by 5% ($5,200 today compared to $5,500 in 2013).
Owning a home is a great way to build family wealth
As we've said before, simply put, homeownership is a form of 'forced savings.' Every time you pay your mortgage, you are contributing to your net worth by increasing the equity in your home.
That is why, for the fifth year in a row, Gallup reported that Americans picked real estate as the best long-term investment. This year's results showed that 34% of Americans chose real estate, followed by stocks at 26% and then gold, savings accounts/CDs, or bonds.
Greater equity in your home gives you options
If you want to find out how you can use the increased equity in your house to move to a home that better fits your current lifestyle, meet with a real estate professional in your area who can guide you through the process.
Despite the popularity, it's hard to believe that there are still a few brave Americans out there that's out of the loop on the information circle on their benefits. Let's extend a helping hand to make sure all of them get these well-deserved benefits for themselves.
If you are a veteran or you know someone who is, here is a breakdown of the VA Home Loan benefits that can be used to achieve the American Dream!
Top 5 Benefits of a VA Home Loan
One of the most important first steps when applying for a VA Home Loan is obtaining your Certificate of Eligibility (COE). "The COE verifies to the lender that you are eligible for a VA-backed loan."
You Can Apply for a VA Loan if You:
It's normal to hesitate on big decisions such as buying your first home, you don't want to jump the gun only to regret it afterward. Some may say you can never tell until you give it a try, wrong! Truth is, owning a home is costly enough as it is, what more is real estate mistake. There are ways to find out how you fare in the market, and the outcome may pleasantly surprise you.
We want to share what the typical first-time homebuyer actually looks like based on the National Association of Realtors' most recent Profile of Home Buyers & Sellers. Here are some interesting revelations on the first-time buyer:
You may not be much different than many people who have already purchased their first homes. Meet with a local real estate professional who can help you determine if your dream home is within your grasp today.
We all know how competitive the real estate market has become due to the recent mortgage interest rate increase and scarcity of inventory. You don't want to jump into the market unprepared and waste time an effort, so we came up with a guide for your buying experience to be as smooth and pleasant as possible.
Below are 4 steps provided by Freddie Mac to help buyers make offers, along with some additional information for your consideration:
1. Determine Your Price
"You've found the perfect home and you're ready to buy. Now what? Your real estate agent will be by your side, helping you determine an offer price that is fair."
Based on your agent's experience and key considerations (like similar homes recently sold in the same neighborhood or the condition of the house and what you can afford), your agent will help you to determine the offer that you are going to present.
Getting pre-approved will not only show home-sellers that you are serious about buying, but it will also allow you to make your offer with confidence because you'll know that you have already been approved for a mortgage in that amount.
2. Submit an Offer
"Once you've determined your price, your agent will draw up an offer, or purchase agreement, to submit to the seller's real estate agent. This offer will include the purchase price and terms and conditions of the purchase."
Talk with your agent to find out if there are any ways in which you can make your offer stand out in this competitive market! A licensed real estate agent who is active in the neighborhoods you are considering will be instrumental in helping you put in a solid offer.
3. Negotiate the Offer
"Oftentimes, the seller will counter the offer, typically asking for a higher purchase price or to adjust the closing date. In these cases, the seller's agent will submit a counteroffer to your agent, detailing their desired changes, at this time, you can either accept the offer or decide if you want to counter.
Each time changes are made through a counteroffer, you or the seller have the option to accept, reject or counter it again. The contract is considered final when both parties sign the written offer."
If your offer is approved, Freddie Mac urges you to "always get an independent home inspection, so you know the true condition of the home." If the inspector uncovers undisclosed problems or issues, you can discuss any repairs that may need to be made with the seller or even cancel the contract altogether.
4. Act Fast
The inventory of homes listed for sale has remained well below the 6-month supply that is needed for a 'normal' market. Buyer demand has continued to outpace the supply of homes for sale, causing buyers to compete with each other for their dream homes.
Make sure that as soon as you decide that you want to make an offer, you work with your agent to present it as quickly as possible.
Whether you're buying your first home or your fifth, having a local professional on your side who is an expert in his or her market is your best bet in making sure the process goes smoothly. Happy house hunting!
As most of us know, real estate markets in most areas have been very competitive due mortgage interest rate increase and low inventory of homes for sale. Now that the inventory has loosened up a lot of people have conflicting impressions about it.
"With the rate of home price appreciation starting to decelerate alongside the uptick in inventory, we expect significant debate whether this is a bullish or bearish sign."
Is this a sign the market might crash?
There are those who look at the increase in inventory as a sign that we are returning to the market we saw last decade. However, a closer look shows that we are nowhere near the levels of inventory we reached before the crash in 2008.
A normal market would have about 6-months inventory, but the latest Existing Home Sales Report issued by the National Association of Realtors revealed that:
"Unsold inventory is at a 4.3-month supply at the current sales pace up from 4.1 months a year ago."
A decade ago, prices began to rapidly depreciate in June 2007. At that time, we had a 9.1-month supply (more than double what it is today) and inventory kept rising until it hit a peak of 11.1 months in April of 2008.
With the current levels of buyer demand, any such increase in months supply is highly unlikely. As Danielle Hale, realtor.com's Chief Economist explains:
"After years of record-breaking inventory declines, September's almost flat inventory signals a big change in the real estate market. Would-be buyers who had been waiting for a bigger selection of homes for sale may finally see more listings materialize. But don't expect the level to jump dramatically.
Plenty of buyers in the market are scooping up homes as soon as they're listed, which will keep national increases relatively small for the time being."
What will be the result of the increase in inventory?
The increase in inventory will allow many families who had been unable to find a home to finally become homeowners. Again, we quote from the 'Z Report':
"In our view, the short-term narrative will probably be confusing, but more sustainable growth and affordability will likely be the end result."
If you are either a first-time or second-time buyer who has given up, check with a local real estate professional to see if new listings have come to the market in your area.
The real estate market has become competitive and intimidating place in some areas. It's best to prepare yourself before entering the market for your home purchase.
In a recent realtor.com article entitled, "How to Find Your Dream Home-Without Losing Your Mind," the author highlights some steps that first-time homebuyers can take to help carry their excitement of buying a home throughout the whole process.
1. Get Pre-Approved for a Mortgage Before You Start Your SearchOne way to show you are serious about buying your dream home is to get pre-qualified or pre-approved for a mortgage before starting your search. Even if you are in a market that is not as competitive, understanding your budget will give you the confidence of knowing whether or not your dream home is within your reach.
This step will also help you narrow your search based on your budget and won't leave you disappointed if the home you tour, and love, ends up being outside your budget!
2. Know the Difference Between Your 'Must-Haves' and 'Would-Like-To-Haves'
Do you really need that farmhouse sink in the kitchen to be happy with your home choice? Would a two-car garage be a convenience or a necessity? Could the 'man cave' of your dreams be a future renovation project instead of a make-or-break right now?
Before you start your search, list all the features of a home you would like and then qualify them as 'must-haves', 'should-haves', or 'absolute-wish list' items. This will help keep you focused on what's most important.
3. Research and Choose a Neighborhood You Want to Live In
Every neighborhood has its own charm. Before you commit to a home based solely on the house itself, the article suggests test-driving the area. Make sure that the area meets your needs for "amenities, commute, school district, etc. and then spend a weekend exploring before you commit."
4. Pick a House Style You Love and Stick to It
Evaluate your family's needs and settle on a style of home that would best serve those needs. Just because you've narrowed your search to a zip code, doesn't mean that you need to tour every listing in that zip code.
An example from the article says, "if you have several younger kids and donât want your bedroom on a different level, steer clear of Cape Cod-style homes, which typically feature two or more bedrooms on the upper level and the master on the main."
5. Document Your Home Visits
Once you start touring homes, the features of each individual home will start to blur together. The article suggests keeping your camera handy and documenting what you love and donât love about each property you visit. They even go as far as to suggest snapping a photo of the 'for sale' sign on the way into the property to help keep the listings divided in your photo gallery.
Making notes on the listing sheet as you tour the property will also help you remember what the photos mean, or what you were feeling while touring the home.
In a high-paced, competitive environment, any advantage you can give yourself will help you on your path to buying your dream home.
Reports both recent and old imply that one of the reasons for the current home price inflation is the dwindling supply. Low inventories are due to Baby Boomers' unwillingness to sell their homes. Let's find out how this is wrong.
Here's what some of the experts have to say on the subject:Aaron Terrazas, Senior Economist at Zillow, says that "Boomers are healthier and working longer than previous generations, which means they aren't yet ready to sell their homes."
According to a study by Realtor.com, 85% of baby boomers indicated they were not planning to sell their homes.
It is true that baby boomers are healthier and are thus working and living longer, but are they also refusing to sell their homes?
Last month, Trulia looked at the housing situation of seniors (aged 65+) today compared to that of a decade ago. Trulia's study revealed that:
"Although seniors appear to be delaying downsizing until later in life, as a group, households 65 and over are still downsizing at roughly the same rate as in years past."
Trulia also explains that,
"5.5% of households 65 and over moved, pretty evenly split between moves to single family (2.7%) and multifamily (2.4%) homes. In 2005, these percentages were virtually the same, with 5.5% of senior households moving, including 2.5% into single family and 2.5% into multifamily homes."
So, if these percentages are the same, what is the challenge?
Recent reports tell us that the older population grew from 3 million in 1900 to 47.8 million in 2017.
In addition, the Census recently revised the numbers from their National Population Projections:
"The aging of baby boomers means that within just a couple decades, older people are projected to outnumber children for the first time in U.S. history...By 2035, there will be 78.0 million people 65 years and older compared to 76.7 million under the age of 18."
If you are a baby boomer who is not sure whether you should downsize or move to a warmer climate (other people are doing it, why not you?), call a local real estate professional who can help you evaluate your options today!
You'll be missing out on a lot of things if you skip pre-approval in your checklist. Fear of down payment and credit score hinder a lot of potential home buyers' decision-making process, with pre-approval you can do away with hesitation and show sellers that you mean business.
Freddie Mac lays out the advantages of pre-approval in the 'My Home' section of their website:
"It's highly recommended that you work with your lender to get pre-approved before you begin house hunting. Pre-approval will tell you how much home you can afford and can help you move faster, and with greater confidence, in competitive markets."
One of the many advantages of working with a local real estate professional is that many have relationships with lenders who will be able to help you through this process. Once you have selected a lender, you will need to fill out their loan application and provide them with important information regarding "your credit, debt, work history, down payment and residential history."
Freddie Mac describes the '4 Cs' that help determine the amount you will be qualified to borrow:
Many potential homebuyers overestimate the down payment and credit scores necessary to qualify for a mortgage today. If you are ready and willing to buy, you may be pleasantly surprised at your ability to do so.
There have been countless reports saying that home prices nowadays are more expensive that is was 10 years ago. While this is accurate, most reports do not include why this is not necessarily a bad thing. Let's find out why.
The reason is that homes were less affordable 25, 20, or even 11 years ago than they are today.
Obviously, buying a home is more expensive now than during the ten years immediately following one of the worst housing crashes in American history.
Over the past decade, the market was flooded with distressed properties (foreclosures and short sales) that were selling at 10-50% discounts. There were so many distressed properties that the prices of non-distressed properties in the same neighborhoods were lowered and mortgage rates were kept low to help the economy.
Low Prices + Low Mortgage Rates = High Affordability
Prices have since recovered and mortgage rates have increased as the economy has gained strength. This has and will continue to impact housing affordability moving forward.
However, let's give affordability some historical context. The National Association of Realtors (NAR) issues their Affordability Index each month. According to NAR:
"The Monthly Housing Affordability Index measures whether or not a typical family earns enough income to qualify for a mortgage loan on a typical home at the national and regional levels based on the most recent monthly price and income data."
NAR's current index stands at 138.8. The index had been higher each of the last ten years, peaking at 197 in 2012 (the higher the index the more affordable houses are).
But, the average index between 1990 and 2007 was just 123 and there were no years with an index above 133. That means that homes are more affordable today than at any time during the eighteen years between 1990 and 2007.
With home prices continuing to appreciate and mortgage rates increasing, home affordability will likely continue to slide. However, this does not mean that buying a house is not an attainable goal in most markets as it is less expensive today than during the eighteen-year stretch immediately preceding the housing bubble and crash.
As the shortage of existing homes continues to drive home prices up, new home sales are giving us a glimpse of how the foreseeable future home sales will look like.
According to the latest New Residential Sales Report from the Census Bureau, new construction sales in August were up 3.5% from July and 12.7% from last year! This marks the second consecutive month with double-digit year-over-year growth (12.8% in July).
Below is a table showing the change in starts, completions, and sales from last August.
Other notable news from the report is that the percentage of new construction sales in the $200-$299k range has continued to break away from the $300-$399k range.
This shows that builders are starting to build lower-priced homes that will help alleviate some of the inventory challenges in the starter and trade-up home categories. The chart below shows the full breakdown.
If you are thinking of buying or selling in today's market, you no doubt have heard that there is a shortage of existing homes for sale which has been driving home prices up across the country. The additional new construction coming to the market could help alleviate this shortage, but we are still not back up to pre-crisis levels.
With recent market developments such as the mortgage interest rate increase and dwindling supplies, many of us expected a significant bump in home prices this year. But recent reports indicate that this year marks the first time since 2016 when home prices did not mark up by 6%.
CoreLogic's Chief Economist Frank Nothaft gave some insight into this change,
"The rise in mortgage rates this summer to their highest level in seven years has made it more difficult for potential buyers to afford a home. The slackening in demand is reflected in the slowing of national appreciation, as illustrated in the CoreLogic Home Price Index.
National appreciation in August was the slowest in nearly two years, and we expect appreciation to slow further in the coming year."
One of the major factors that has driven prices to accelerate at a pace of between 6-7% over the past two years was the lack of inventory available for sale in many areas of the country. This made houses a prized commodity which forced many buyers into bidding wars and drove prices even higher.
According to the National Association of Realtors' (NAR) latest Existing Home Sales Report, we are starting to see more inventory come to market over the last few months. This, paired with patient buyers who are willing to wait to find the right homes, is creating a natural environment for price growth to slow.
Historically, prices appreciated at a rate of 3.7% (from 1987-1999). CoreLogic predicts that prices will continue to rise over the next year at a rate of 4.7%.
As the housing market moves closer to a 'normal market' with more inventory for buyers to choose from, home prices will start to appreciate at a more 'normal' level, and that's ok! If you are curious about home prices in your area, talk to a local real estate professional who can show you what's going on!
There are countless reasons why we should have a home of our own. financial benefits, social benefits, emotional benefit, and the list goes on. Today, let's discuss the top 4 reasons backed up by studies.
Realtor.com reported that:
"Buying remains the more attractive option in the long term - that remains the American dream, and it's true in many markets where renting has become really the shortsighted option...as people get more savings in their pockets, buying becomes the better option."
What proof exists that owning is financially better than renting?
1. In a previous blog, we highlighted the top 5 financial benefits of homeownership:
3. Less than a month ago, we explained that a family that purchased an average-priced home at the beginning of 2018 could build more than $49,000 in family wealth over the next five years.
4. Some argue that renting eliminates the cost of taxes and home repairs, but every potential renter must realize that all the expenses the landlord incurs are already baked into the rent payment - along with a profit margin!
Owning your home has many social and financial benefits that cannot be achieved by renting.
Today's real estate market are driven by two influential forces, interest rates & supply. Whether we like it or not our system are ultimately governed by these two which can stiffen or soften a particular market area with the slightest movements by its needle.
Mortgage interest rates have been on the rise and are now over three-quarters of a percentage point higher than they were at the beginning of the year. According to Freddie Mac's latest Primary Mortgage Market Survey, rates climbed to 4.72% for a 30-year fixed rate mortgage last week.
The interest rate you secure when buying a home not only greatly impacts your monthly housing costs, but also impacts your purchasing power.
Purchasing power, simply put, is the amount of home you can afford to buy for the budget you have available to spend. As rates increase, the price of the house you can afford to buy will decrease if you plan to stay within a certain monthly housing budget.
The chart below shows the impact that rising interest rates would have if you planned to purchase a $400,000 home while keeping your principal and interest payments between $2,020-$2,050 a month.
With each quarter of a percent increase in interest rate, the value of the home you can afford decreases by 2.5% (in this example, $10,000). Experts predict that mortgage rates will be over 5% by this time next year.
A 'normal' real estate market requires there to be a 6-month supply of homes for sale in order for prices to increase only with inflation. According to the National Association of Realtors (NAR), listing inventory is currently at a 4.3-month supply (still well below the 6-months needed), which has put upward pressure on home prices. Home prices have increased year-over-year for the last 78 straight months.
The inventory of homes for sale in the real estate market had been on a steady decline and experienced year-over-year drops for 36 straight months (from July 2015 to May 2018), but we are starting to see a shift in inventory over the last three months.
The chart below shows the change in housing supply over the last 12 months compared to the previous 12 months. As you can see, in June, July, and August, inventory levels have started to increase as compared to the same time last year.
This is a trend to watch as we move further into the fall and winter months. If we continue to see an increase in homes for sale, we could start moving further away from a seller's market and closer to a normal market.
If you are planning to enter the housing market, either as a buyer or a seller, make sure that you have an experienced local agent who can help you navigate the changes in mortgage interest rates and inventory.